The evidence leans constructive8 supporting, 2 against, 0 worth knowing
Supporting
trading 1% above its 200-day average
up 77% over twelve months
matches growing fast, sold off anyway, which has beaten the market by +1.11 points over 20 sessions across 29,180 past signals
5 of the scans it matches have a positive measured record
3 independent kinds of evidence agree today, which is uncommon
revenue grew 39% year on year in the quarter ending 30 June 2026
net margin has widened from 33.3% to 37.8% across four quarters
priced at 10× earnings against an industry median of 19× — 47% below its peers
Against
1 of the scans it matches has historically underperformed the market
holders are unwinding longs quietly
Worth knowing
nothing the data supports either way
NATIONALUM sits in Metals — worth checking whether the whole group is moving together or whether this name is doing it alone.
What would change this read: a close below 371, its 200-day average.
Assembled automatically from the figures on this page — the scans matched, their measured record, the filed financials, the derivatives positioning and the peer comparison. It is not a recommendation, no one has spoken to the company, and every claim above can be checked against a number further down this page.
What is working, what is not
from the filings and from the price, with the figure behind every line
Working5
NALCO's net profit rose 90.9% year on year, from Rs 1,049 cr to Rs 2,003 cr.
+90.9%Rs 1,049 crRs 2,003 cr
Profit grew faster than revenue, +90.9% against +39.3%.
+90.9%+39.3%
Net margin improved from 27.6% to 37.8%.
27.6%37.8%
Up 77.0% over the past year.
+77.0%
Rs 203 crore changes hands on a median day, so an ordinary order is not the reason it moves.
Rs 203 cr
Needs watching
Nothing on this side tonight — not in the filings and not in the price.
Every figure here is computed — from the company’s own filings, or from its own closing prices. Wording of 3 of these 3 filing lines was drafted by a language model, which is given the figures and may not introduce another — any sentence containing a number that did not come from the filings is discarded before it reaches this page.
How it has performed
price return over each window, beside the median NSE stock over the same days
What the scans say today
7 of 47 matched on 10 Sep
NATIONALUM matches 7 of the 47 scans today, across 3 different kinds of evidence. Three or more independent families agreeing is uncommon — it is the same test the shortlist on every page uses.
NATIONALUM trades at 10× trailing earnings, close to its median of 10× over this window. The band runs from the 5th to the 95th percentile, so single-day spikes do not set the edges.
This window is short by the standards of valuation history — it begins where four quarters of filed earnings first exist. A stock can look cheap against two years and expensive against ten.
AGM / EGM filings were typically +0.17pt vs the market over the next 5 sessions (n=8,423) · Other filing filings were typically +0.01pt vs the market over the next 5 sessions (n=17,202)
The business
from the company’s filed results
Everything below is taken from the company’s own quarterly filing with the exchange — the XBRL document it submitted, not a vendor’s summary of it. Figures in rupees crore.
RevenueNet profit, drawn inside its revenue barNet margin, own scale belowrupees crore, per quarter as filed. Revenue bars start at zero.
Going for it
revenue grew 39% against the same quarter a year earlier
profit rose 91% year on year
net margin widened from 34.4% to 37.8%
revenue rose in 4 of the last 4 quarters
Going against it
nothing clear in the filed numbers
Quarter-by-quarter numbers, as filed
Quarter
Revenue
Profit before tax
Net profit
EPS
Net margin
Q1 FY27
30 Jun · consolidated
5,302
2,689
2,003
10.91
37.8%
Q4 FY26
31 Mar · consolidated
5,013
2,311
1,722
9.38
34.4%
Q3 FY26
31 Dec · consolidated
4,731
2,132
1,595
8.69
33.7%
Q2 FY26
30 Sep · consolidated
4,292
1,895
1,430
7.79
33.3%
Q1 FY26
30 Jun · consolidated
3,807
1,429
1,049
5.71
27.6%
Q4 FY25
31 Mar · consolidated
5,268
2,760
2,067
11.26
39.2%
Quarterly filings are unaudited unless stated. Consolidated figures are used where the company files both. A single quarter is a noisy thing — the trend across the column is worth more than the top row.
Where the price stands
the same figures every scan on this site is computed from
Trend
Distance from the averages traders watch. Above all of them is a bull phase; below the 200-day is the line most investors use to say otherwise.
Versus 50-day average+1.2%
Versus 200-day average+0.8%
Below 52-week high-15.4%
Above 52-week low+86.1%
Momentum
How hard it has been pushed lately. Above 70 on RSI is stretched, below 30 is washed out — neither is a signal on its own.
RSI (14)37.5
Higher closes in last 53 of 5
Six-month return−3.69%
Risk and liquidity
What a position costs to hold and to exit. Position sizing starts with the daily swing, not with conviction.
Typical daily swing (ATR)2.96%
Volume versus 20-day0.6x
Median daily turnoverRs 202.9 cr
Derivatives
near expiry 2026-09-29 · 2026-09-10
Long Unwinding
Price down, open interest down. Holders are leaving quietly. Less violent than a short buildup, and easier to miss.
Futures basis versus spot-0.01%
Open interest change-1.0%
Put / call ratio0.57
Put wall (support)370
Call wall (resistance)400
Max pain380
How to read this
Open interest is contracts still open, so a rise means new positions and a fall means positions closing. Combined with price direction that gives the state on the left. The walls are the strikes carrying the most open interest near expiry — levels other people are watching, not levels the price is obliged to respect. A future below spot means sellers are paying to be short.
Peers
Metals & Mining · 23 classified companies
NATIONALUM trades at 10.2× trailing earnings against an industry median of 19.3× across 22 other classified companies in its industry — cheaper than them, by 47%. A multiple is a statement about expectations, not about quality: cheap usually means the market expects less, and it is often right.
largest twelve by market capitalisation. Market cap and P/E need filed financials, so blanks are companies whose filings have not been read yet
Recent sessions
what this stock has matched since the engine went live
This is the live record, not the backtest — the scans this stock actually appeared in on each stored session. A name that keeps reappearing is in a persistent condition; a one-day appearance usually is not.
Session
Scans
Which
3 Sep
1
Opened and closed at the same price
1 Sep
1
Death cross — 50 crossed below 200
31 Aug
1
Death cross — 50 crossed below 200
28 Aug
2
Closed at the day's high, Death cross — 50 crossed below 200